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Average house price still on the rise: 3.3% increase in Q4 2022

17 de January de 2023

This is the seventh quarter in a row with QoQ increases, consolidating the trend seen since the lifting of pandemic restrictions.

Average house price still on the rise: 3.3% increase in Q4 2022

At Gesvalt, we have published the Housing Report for Q4 2022. The study, carried out with our own data by the Research department, reflects an increase in house prices of 3.3% compared to the same period in 2021.

This increase, following the 4% recorded in the previous quarter -the largest increase after the end of the pandemic, at the end of Q2 2021-, is the seventh consecutive rise above 3% at the national level. Gesvalt experts believe that this increase may have occurred as a response to increasing interest rates, as these may have speeded up the decision to buy a home in view of possible future increases. In any case, they continue to expect prices to stabilise during the central months of 2023.

In this way, the average house price stands at 鈧1,507 per sq m, which is still close to the historical maximum recorded in Q1 2008, 29.7% lower, though. This value means that an average 90 sq m home would be priced at 鈧135,630, compared to 鈧131,310 last year.

The national increase in house prices has been based on an overall increase throughout the country, with the sole exception of Extremadura, where prices fell by 1.4% and it is positioned as the region with the cheapest housing, with an average value of 鈧844 per sq m. Apart from Extremadura, the only region with a price below 鈧1,000 per sq m is Castilla La Mancha, with 鈧877 per sq m. On the opposite side we find the Balearic Islands, which for the fifth consecutive quarter marks the peak of housing prices in Spain, with 鈧2,611 per sq m, closely followed by the Community of Madrid, with 鈧2,412 per sq m and the Basque Country with 鈧2,309 per sq m, these being the only regions with prices above 鈧2,000 per sq m.

   

The Balearic Islands, Navarre, the Community of Madrid and the Community of Valencia lead the way in growth

In Q4 2022, Spain鈥檚 house prices continue to grow at different paces. For the second consecutive period, the autonomous communities with the highest increases were the Balearic Islands (8.1%) – ranking first in terms of price rise for the fifteenth month in a row-, Navarre (6%), the Community of Madrid (5.2%) and the Community of Valencia (5.1%). With the exception of the Valencian Community, which recorded an increase of 5.4% in Q3 2022, all the other regions have experienced a growth acceleration in this last period of the year, further widening the gap with the rest of the regions. In this sense, the only area of Spain with an increase exceeding 3% was the Canary Islands, standing at 3.9%.

On the other hand, in Q4 2022 house prices reversed their downward trend in Galicia, which had seen declines for six consecutive quarters. On this occasion, prices remained stable, increasing slightly by 0.1%.

At the provincial level, the most significant rises are recorded in M谩laga (+15.5%) and Alicante (+9.3%). On the other hand, the provinces with the highest drops were C谩ceres (-4.0%), L茅rida (-3.7%) and Zamora (-2.4%).

The upward trend in rents remains in place

After an irregular start to the year, a growing trend in rental prices has been consolidated across all Spain in the last quarters. In fact, in Q4 2022, the only exceptions were C贸rdoba and Huesca, which saw 1.5% and 0.7% YoY declines, respectively. On the contrary, the largest YoY rent rises were recorded in Ja茅n (+12.3%), M谩laga (+12.0%), C谩diz (+8.5%), Barcelona (+8.4%) and the Balearic Islands (+8.2%).

In terms of total figures, the highest rental prices are seen again in Barcelona (鈧18.21 per sq m), followed by Madrid (鈧15.88 per sq m) and Gipuzkoa (鈧15.61 per sq m). The bottom of the ranking is occupied by the two only provinces with monthly rents below 鈧5 per sq m: Ja茅n (鈧4.81 per sq m) and Cuenca (鈧4.90 per sq m).

At the municipal level, the trend observed is the same as that at the provincial level. Municipalities with monthly rents above 鈧15 per sq m are again Barcelona, Madrid, San Sebasti谩n; joined in the last quarter by Marbella (鈧17.28 per sq m), Castelldefels (鈧16.19 per sq m) and Hospitalet de Llobregat (鈧15.31 per sq m). In contrast, municipalities with a population exceeding 50,000 with the lowest housing rents are Elda, Linares, Puertollano, Lorca and Alcoy, with rents of less than 鈧5 per sq m.

Slowdown in construction activity

Despite the increase in house prices, the Gesvalt report has also detected a slowdown during the first nine months of the year in two of the main indicators that mark the behaviour of the real estate market. At the end of Q3 2022, the aggregated number of building management approvals (accreditations to oversee and inspect building works) recorded a 0.9% YoY slight decline.

A sharper decline was observed in the number of final building permits, with an aggregated 3.7% drop. The autonomous communities with the highest number of permits were the Community of Madrid (19.1% of the total), Andalusia (16.9%) and Catalonia (15.0%). As regards the number of building management approvals, Andalusia is in the lead with 19.8% of the total, followed by the Community of Madrid (19.5%) and Catalonia (14.7%).

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